For some years now, the Sahel has been experiencing a series of interlinked crises, and the re-articulation of its geopolitical and security realities. The change in the historical logic that prevailed until recently has paved the way for the return of certain players (including Russia, which is making a major comeback) and the arrival of new ones (Türkiye, and Iran to a certain extent).
Although the causes of the various interlocking crises are different, they are all evolving in ways that are redefining the geostrategic landscape. Given the interplay of interests, coupled with slipshod governance and security constraints marked by the involvement of multi-faceted groups (rebels, terrorists, armed bandits, militias, etc.), alliances that are still viewed as traditional have evolved in response to changes in the power dynamics. The new dynamics in the region, with their martial overtones, are steeped in sovereignty, pan-Africanism, and challenges to democracy. However, while the new currents seem to have been well received by a significant segment of public opinion in the Sahel, it has been difficult to translate them into action on the ground in terms of state-building, national cohesion, and economic recovery.
This policy paper aims to analyse and understand the geopolitical changes and shifting partnerships that have taken place in the Sahel. It will examine the impact of these changes on political, economic, and security dynamics at national, regional, and international levels. Finally, practical recommendations will be put forward with a view to building a framework for peace, stability, and sustainable development throughout the sub-region in the light of the recent geopolitical changes.
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