Current trends, such as ad hoc coalitions like the G5 Sahel, financial and institutional reform processes within the African Union, or the crisis of multilateralism, to name but a few, have a direct impact on the performance, results and legitimacy of the African Peace and Security Architecture in various ways. They may also have long-term consequences for its funding, institutional mechanisms and even agenda and norm setting.
In order to encourage a discussion on trends, analyses of future challenges and potentially necessary policy decisions, the African Union office of the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung has proposed in 2019 to bring together some 30 experts on the subject in a scenario-building process on the future of the "APSA we want".
It is a process that highlights the political implications of decisions taken today and their consequences in the years to come. This project has brought together other FES offices, including FES PSCC. The APSA 2040 scenarios is a document that highlights the trends and developments that are shaping the future of collective security in Africa (http://library.fes.de/pdf-files/bueros/fes-ua/16687-20201110.pdf).
After the presentation of the scenarios by Mr. Abdi AYNTE, former Minister of Planning and International Cooperation of Somalia, the panelists made brilliant presentations. The discussions were particularly rich.
The experts who participated in this workshop urged the FES to continue the reflections and to push the analyses with the data already available in order to issue orientations to improve the APSA and to give adapted solutions for more effectiveness of this instrument.